Monday, November 30, 2009

Pulse Asia's October 2009 Nationwide Survey on Vice-Presidential Preferences for the May 2010 Elections

VICE-PRESIDENTIAL RACE: Senator Manuel A. Roxas II emerges as the favored vice-presidential bet in October 2009

Almost four in ten Filipinos (37%) would vote for Senator Manuel A. Roxas II as vice-president if the May 2010 elections were held at the time of the survey. Senator Roxas leads the other vice-presidentiables in several geographic areas and socio-economic classes (32% to 49%). In Balance Luzon and Mindanao, however, his lead over Senator Loren Legarda (32% versus 25% and 33% versus 28% respectively) is a marginal one, i.e. within the sample's margin of error. Statistically speaking, the two vice-presidential hopefuls could have nearly the same level of voter preferences in these two areas. The same observation could also be made regarding their comparative voter preferences among the poorest Class E (33%vs. 25%).

At the national level, Senator Legarda finds herself in second place in the vice-presidential race (23%) while Makati City Mayor Jejomar C. Binay and Vice-President de Castro share third place (13% and 11%, respectively). Six other probable vice-presidential bets score voter preferences of 4% or less while only 4% of Filipinos are not inclined to support any vice-presidential candidate.

There are no significant movements in the voter preferences of those individuals included in Pulse Asia’s August and October 2009 vice-presidential probes as changes range only from -4 percentage points for Vice-President de Castro to +4 percentage points for Senator Legarda. [No comparative data are available for Senators Aquino and Roxas as their presidential and vice-presidential voter preferences, respectively, are being probed by Pulse Asia for the first time since October 2007.] Source: http://pulseasia.com.ph

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