Monday, February 1, 2010

January 2010 Social Weather Stations (SWS) Latest Presidential Survey

Senator Benigno 'Noynoy' Aquino III still leads in the latest presidential survey conducted January 21-24 by the Social Weather Stations (SWS), but Senator Manny Villar has narrowed the gap to just 7 percentage points.

According to a press release sent out by the Liberal Party (LP) on Monday, its standard-bearer Aquino got 42% support from 2,100 respondents while Villar received 35%.

Aquino's lead over Villar was 19 percentage points in December 5-10 and 11 percentage points in December 27-28.

Before the filing of candidacy papers, Aquino's lead over the rest of the aspirants was more than 20 percentage points. He had a 27 percentage-point lead over Villar (Aquino 47%; Villar 20%) in the November 4-8 survey of SWS.


Statistically same for rest

Former President Joseph Estrada got 13%, statistically the same as his 15% in the December 27-28 survey. The latest survey was conducted after the Commission on Elections threw out a petition seeking to disqualify Estrada.


The survey has a margin of error of plus/minus 2.2%.

Administration candidate and former Defense Secretary Gilbert Teodoro was chosen by 4% of respondents, also statistically the same as his 5% in the December 27-28 survey.

The ratings of Senator Richard Gordon and Bro. Eddie Villanueva were also statistically the same as in the previous survey.

Gordon got 2% in the January 21-25 survey, up from 0.5% in December 27-28.

Villanueva got 2% in the January 21-25 survey from 1% in December 27-28.

Pol ads, Senate report

The Liberal Party has attributed Villar's rise in the surveys to his massive political ad spending, which includes endorsements by popular comedians such as Dolphy and Michael V.

However, Villar's ratings might take a hit in the next round following the Senate's recommendation to censure him for unethical conduct in connection with the C-5 road project.

The survey was concluded before senators clashed over the report of the Senate committee of the whole recommending the censure of Villar for unethical conduct in connection with the C-5 road extension project.

On January 26, Senator Juan Ponce Enrile claimed Villar tried to buy him off, a charge Villar denied.

Mar keeps big lead over Loren

In the vice-presidential race, Senator Mar Roxas II of the Liberal Party was chosen by 49% of respondents in the January 21-25 survey while Senator Loren Legarda of the Nationalist People's Coalition (NPC) was picked by 28% for a big 21 percentage-point lead

The LP said Legarda's ratings fell from 31% in the December 27-28 survey. Roxas got 47% support in the last survey.

The latest survey of SWS was commissioned by BusinessWorld, which has first disclosure rights.

From a pre-selected list of official candidates, respondents were asked who they would choose as the next president and vice-president if elections were held on the day the survey was conducted.

SWS disclosed last January 21 that in a two-person race between Aquino and Villar, Aquino was chosen by 52% of respondents while Villar was picked by 44% in a survey conducted December 27-28. Four percent were undecided

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