Sunday, February 14, 2010

Pulse Asia January 2010 Pre-Election Result for Party-List Group

Pulse Asia's January 2010 Pre-election Survey for Party-List Group Preference

As part of our academic responsibility, we are disseminating part of the findings of the latest pre-election survey conducted by Pulse Asia during the period 22 to 26 January 2010.

Aside from probing into Filipinos’ preferences for president, vice-president, and senators, Pulse Asia’s January 2010 pre-election survey also looked into Filipinos’ choices for party list representatives in the coming national elections. In the period prior to and during the conduct of the survey, the Commission on Elections (COMELEC) not only reinstated a few presidential and senatorial candidates but also included several party list groups in the final list of candidates bringing the total number of candidates to ten for the presidency, eight for the vice-presidency, 62 for the Senate, and 150 for the party-list. (However, on January 30, 2010, the COMELEC approved the inclusion of 37 more groups in the election for party list representatives. Thus, as of this writing, the total number of groups seeking party list representation is 187.)

For the electoral preference module, Pulse Asia made use of a ballot that conforms to the COMELEC sample prior to the conduct of the January 2010 pre-elections survey. Measuring 8” x 29”, the names of the candidates for the national posts were listed alphabetically as ordered in the official list released by the COMELEC prior to this survey's field work. Respondents were asked to indicate their preference on the ballot based on the instructions written.

Based on a multistage probability sample of 1,800 representative adults 18 years old and above, Pulse Asia’s nationwide survey has a +/- 2% error margin at the 95% confidence level. Subnational estimates for the geographic areas covered in the survey have the following error margins at 95% confidence level: +/- 6% for Metro Manila, +/- 4% for the rest of Luzon and +/- 5% for each of Visayas and Mindanao. Face-to-face field interviews for this project were conducted from January 22 to 26, 2010. (Those interested in further technical details concerning the surveys’ questionnaires and sampling design may request Pulse Asia in writing for fuller details, including copies of the pre-tested questions actually used.)

Pulse Asia’s pool of academic fellows takes full responsibility for the design and conduct of the survey, as well as for analyses it makes based on the survey data. In keeping with our academic nature, no religious, political, economic, or partisan group influenced any of these processes. Pulse Asia undertakes pre-election surveys on its own without any party singularly commissioning the research effort.

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