Pulse Asia's April 2010 Senatoriables Survey

Senators Ramon B. Revilla, Jr. and Jinggoy E. Estrada maintain their lead in the senatorial race; only 37% of Filipino registered voters have a complete senatorial line-up for the May 2010 elections

Of the 61 individuals running for senator, 18 have a statistical chance of winning if the May 2010 elections were held during the survey period. Five of the probable winners are from the Liberal Party (LP), three from either the Nacionalista Party (NP) or the Pwersa ng Masang Pilipino (PMP), and two are with the Lakas-Kampi Christian Muslim Democrats (CMD). Four political parties have one probable winner each – Kilusang Bagong Lipunan (KBL), Nationalist People’s Coalition (NPC), Partido Demokratiko Pilipino-Lakas ng Bayan (PDP-Laban), and People’s Reform Party (PRP) – while one probable winner is running as an independent candidate.


Two incumbent lawmakers – Senators Revilla and Estrada – continue to lead the senatorial race with 52.8% and 50.0% of Filipino registered voters favoring their re-election. These overall voter preferences translate to statistical rankings of 1st to 2nd places for Senator Revilla and 1st to 3rd places for Senator Estrada. Meanwhile, Senator Miriam P. Defensor-Santiago lands in 2nd to 3rd places with 47.9% of registered voters supporting her re-election. Three candidates share 4th to 6th places – incumbent Senate President Juan Ponce Enrile (40.6%), former Senate President Franklin M. Drilon (38.4%), and Senator Pilar Juliana S. Cayetano (38.1%). Ranked 7th to 9th are former Dangerous Drugs Board (DDB) Chairperson Vicente C. Sotto III (32.3%) and former Senator Sergio R. Osmeña (32.2%). With 30.1% of registered voters backing his candidacy, former National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA) Director General Ralph G. Recto lands in 7th to 10th places while Ilocos Norte Representative Ferdinand R. Marcos, Jr. gets the support of 27.7% of registered voters for a statistical ranking of 9th to 10th places.

Completing the list of likely winners are Bukidnon Representative Teofisto D. Guingona III (23.0% and 11th to 15th), Senator Manuel M. Lapid (21.0% and 11th to 18th), Akbayan Party-List Representative Ana Theresia H. Hontiveros-Baraquel (20.2% and 11th to 18th), Mr. Jose P. de Venecia III (19.6% and 11th to 19th), Atty. Gwendolyn D. Pimentel (19.2% and 11th to 20th), former Cavite Representative Gilbert Cesar C. Remulla (18.7% and 12th to 20th), Colonel Ariel O. Querubin (17.5% and 12th to 20th), and Muntinlupa Representative Rozzano Rufino B. Biazon (17.3% and 12th to 20th).